Sometimes boring is better.
When it comes to investing strategies, what is new, shiny and exciting is what often draws in the masses.
2022 has been a harsh reality check for many FOMO-based investing strategies.
Narrative versus evidence.
It’s brutal out there at times, but there are solutions for investors seeking stability.
Minimum Volatility investing is one of them.
It’s a strategy that has historically been hundreds of basis points more defensive without relinquishing its offensive capabilities.
Aren’t we as investors rewarded for taking risks?
Shouldn’t strategies that reduce volatility offer lower returns?
That hasn’t been the case.
When comparing Min Vol investing strategies with their market cap weighted parent indexes (across the world) more often than not the min vol strategy outperforms and/or mirrors the returns of the MCW index.
And yet min vol equity strategies aren’t nearly as popular as value investing or dividend equity strategies.
With that in mind, we’ll be reviewing the most popular (from an AUM standpoint) Min Vol ETF: USMV
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF Review
We’ve got a lot to cover here so let’s get cracking!
USMV ETF Review | iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF Review
Hey guys! Here is the part where I mention I’m a travel blogger, vlogger and content creator! This investing opinion blog post ETF Review is entirely for entertainment purposes only. There could be considerable errors in the data I gathered. This is not financial advice. Do your own due diligence and research. Consult with a financial advisor.
source: Morningstar Europe YouTube
iShares ETFs: Minimum Volatility Factor Funds
iShares is one of several Goliath ETF providers offering hundreds of different funds for investors to consider.
Hence, I’m not going to shine the spotlight upon them and instead we’ll key in on the minimum volatility products they offer investors.
Minimum Volatility ETFs
USMV ETF – iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
EEMV ETF – iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Min Vol Factor ETF
EFAV ETF – iShares MSCI EAFE Min Vol Factor ETF
ACWV ETF – iShares MSCI Global Min Vol Factor ETF
SMMV ETF – iShares MSCI USA Small-Cap Min Vol Factor ETF
ESMV ETF – iShares ESG MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
The Case For Minimum Volatility Factor Investing
The case for Minimum Volatility investing is compelling to say the least.
Historical returns that can compete with (or exceed) market cap weighted strategies while shaving down 100s of basis points of risk.
A relative defensive juggernaut that doesn’t compromise on its offensive capabilities.
Providing stability when you need it the most – when markets are clearly down.
The invaluable MSCI Factor in Focus offers a clear explanation as to why Minimum Volatility strategies offer a potential premium:
- “One theory posits that investors underpay for low volatility stocks, viewing them as less rewarding, and overpay for high volatility stocks that are seen as long-shot opportunities for higher returns.
- A secondary academic explanation holds that investors can be overconfident in their ability to forecast the future, and that their opinions differ more for high volatility stocks, which have less certain outcomes, leading to higher volatility and lower returns.”
As a defensive factor it is clearly in a league of its own when it comes to managing volatility (standard deviation):
From a risk management perspective it has offered investors close to 500 basis points more volatility management versus its parent market cap weighted index!
Additionally, it has outperformed as well by 116 basis points!
“The MSCI World Minimum Volatility (USD) Index has historically generated excess returns over the long run with a 1.16% annual return over the MSCI World Index since 1999 as represented above.”
Feast your eyes upon the years of 2000, 2001, 2002, 2008, 2015 and 2018.
Notice any pattern?
For those six individual years that the market has been down minimum volatility has been in 1st (4 times), 2nd (once) or 3rd (once) place relative to eight other equity strategies including other factors and market cap weighted indexes.
It truly is the king of defensive equity optimization.
USMV ETF Overview, Holdings and Info
The investment case for “iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF ” has been laid out succinctly by the folks over at iShares ETFs: (fund landing page)
“The iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. equities that, in the aggregate, have lower volatility characteristics relative to the broader U.S. equity market.”
1. Exposure to U.S. stocks with potentially less risk
2. Historically, USMV has declined less than the market during market downturns
3. Consider USMV for a core position in a portfolio
It’s crystal clear that USMV ETF positions itself as a US core fund that offers investors “less risk” than committing to a market cap weighted strategy.
As a defensive equity strategy it has the potential to significantly lower the overall standard deviation of a portfolio.
Let’s move on by consulting the index provider’s documents to find out its methodology for security selection.
USMV ETF: Security Selection Process
“The MSCI USA Minimum Volatility (USD) Index aims to reflect the performance characteristics of a minimum variance strategy applied to the large and mid cap USA equity universe.
The index is calculated by optimizing the MSCI USA Index, its parent index, in USD for the lowest absolute risk (within a given set of constraints).
Historically, the index has shown lower beta and volatility characteristics relative to the MSCI USA Index.
- The MSCI Minimum Volatility (MV) Indices are uniquely designed to capture low volatility risk premia.
- The MSCI MV Indices are constructed to: (1) experience the lowest total risk, (2) avoid unintended bets
on countries, sectors and styles, and (3) provide superior risk-adjusted performance while maintaining
the investability and replicability features of the parent cap weighted indices.
- MSCI MV Indices can be used for cost effective replication, benchmarking of low volatility managers,
and in combination with other MSCI Risk Premia Indices.”
Minimum Volatility Index Key Points
Here are the key points relating to how the Minimum Volatility index is constructed:
- Universe: Securities are chosen from the parent index (MSCI US Index) = 165 positions
- Minimum Variance Optimization: Aiming for the “least volatile portfolio” versus selecting the “least volatile stocks”
- Constraints: Tries to minimize tracking error with MSCI US parent index by imposing sector, style and cap-weight constraints
For those interested in learning more about the differences between minimum volatility and low volatility index construction I’ve covered it in this article: “Minimum Volatility Factor Investing | Why Low Volatility Is The Best Equity Strategy“.
USMV ETF: Holdings
I always chuckle a little bit because with every min vol or low vol ETF I’ve ever examined, I’m more or less guaranteed to find a waste disposal company as a top 10 position.
And I’m not disappointed this time around.
We’ve got Waste Management Inc coming in at number 4!
Ah, that’s a bad joke.
You’ll notice familiar brands such as Pepsico Inc, Verizon Communications and Johnson & Johnson as part of the mix.
More importantly, you’ll notice the top position (Duke Energy Corp) only takes up 1.58% weight.
USMV ETF: Sector Exposure
USMV Min Vol ETF makes solid on its promise not to deviate substantially sector-wise from its parent index.
Here we can see clearly that the fund doesn’t veer too far from its large cap category average.
Unsurprisingly, it is slightly overweight defensive sectors across the board: consumer defensive (13.13% vs 7.40%), healthcare (20.70% vs 16.05%) and utilities (8.19% s 2.75%).
It is underweight technology (17.14% vs 22.70%), energy (0.54% vs 4.39%) and consumer cyclical (5.31% vs 10.02%) in particular.
USMV ETF Info
Net Expense Ratio: 0.15
AUM: 29.8 Billion
Inception: Oct 18, 2011
USMV ETF – Style Measures
USMV Min Vol ETF doesn’t bedazzle with impressive value and growth measures.
In fact, it’s more or less on par with the category average (large cap blend) across the board.
Head to head we find it offers the following:
- Price/Earnings (18.66 vs 18.72)
- Price/Book (3.91 vs 4.05)
- Price/Sales (2.09 vs 2.19)
- Price/Cash Flow (11.85 vs 11.85)
- Dividend Yield % (1.99 vs 1.66)
- Long-Term Earnings % (8.63 vs 11.12)
- Historical Earnings % (16.49 vs 25.71)
- Sales Growth % (9.07 vs 9.60)
- Cash-Flow Growth % (7.91 vs 9.80)
- Book-Value Growth % (8.26 vs 8.64).
The Min Vol Factor ETF only squeaks out marginal victories with regards to relative better price/earnings, price/book and price/sales (where lower is better) and dividend yield (where higher is better).
USMV ETF – Stock Style
You’ll be hard pressed to find a more blend-tastic US Large Cap fund than USMV ETF.
It’s as Blendy McBlenderson as they come.
The fund has 57% of its resources committed to Blend, 21% towards Value and 21% aimed at Growth.
It’s top heavy with 72% large cap and 27% mid cap allocations.
I don’t think I’ve encountered a fund that is more down the middle than this one.
It’s firmly smack dab in the middle.
USMV ETF – Factor Profile
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF pulls hard on the low volatility lever as would be expected.
Additionally, it currently offers investors decent momentum factor exposure.
However, the rest of its factor profile is nothing spectacular or noteworthy.
USMV ETF Performance
Let’s explore how USMV has performed since its inception.
USMV Long-Term Performance: Offensive and Defensive Wizard
USMV Min Vol Factor ETF has offered investors impressive performance and outstanding volatility management since inception.
It’s indeed rare to find an equity fund that has offered investors higher Returns (CAGR: 12.09%) versus Risk (Stdev: 11.66%).
Offensive and defensive prowess all around.
With a worst year of just -5.89%, the Min Vol ETF has navigated the turbulent waters of the 2020s in a manner that puts other equity funds to shame.
To round things off USMV ETF has featured a high Sharpe Ratio of 0.98 and Sortino Ratio of 1.57 with 0.89 Market Correlation.
Let’s zoom in to explore a few years in particular.
USMV 2022 Performance: Results vs S&P 500
USMV Minimum Volatility Factor ETF has conspired to keep carnage at bay in 2022 relative to the S&P 500.
As investors we’re more often than not thrilled to celebrate clear outperformance during record breaking markets yet we don’t typically apply the same standards of excess exuberance for relative wins during times of turmoil.
In other words, Happy Less Relative Carnage Day!
I don’t think we’ll soon be having a holiday named after that.
Well, when it comes to minimum volatility factor investing strategies, this is typically the time to celebrate the most.
After all, it is a defensive equity factor strategy known for reliably battening down the hatches whilst the storm approaches.
Here are the results of USMV ETF vs SPY ETF:
CAGR: -5.89% vs -13.17%
Stdev: 18.91% vs 23.68%
Max Drawdown: -17.35% vs -23.93%
Yet, it isn’t a free lunch all of the time for minimum volatility investors as we can clearly see in 2020.
USMV 2020 Performance: Results vs S&P 500
In 2020 investors committed to Min Vol ETF strategies would have had to suck it up buttercup.
Aside from better handling the March drawdown, it was overall a tough year for USMV versus SPY ETF.
That’s the clear challenge of being a factor investor.
The willingness to endure inevitable periods of underperformance when the strategy you’re pursuing is in the shade and not the spotlight.
UMSV ETF Pros and Cons
Let’s move on and examine the potential pros and cons of USMV ETF.
- Solid returns and even more impressive risk management for USMV ETF since its inception
- The capacity to perform at its relative best when you likely need it the most (during times of market turmoil)
- The most defensive equity factor strategy by a country mile offering hundreds of basis points of relative standard deviation outperformance
- The capacity to provide equal to (or possibly even greater than) returns versus market cap weighted strategies
- A great barbell equity partner for strategies such as value or momentum or to pair with quality and/or yield to form a defensive powerhouse
- The perpetually unsexy narrative of lower highs and lower lows while allocating more often to waste management types of companies versus the latest and greatest in technology
- If combined with uncorrelated asset classes and alternative investment strategies the potential for a portfolio where returns exceed risk is possible
- A low fee (0.15) that is in a league of its own for factor based strategies while knocking on the door of ultra low cost market cap weighted strategies
- Will inevitably underperform during red hot markets where FOMO most often manifests itself the greatest
- Has the potential to become an overcrowded factor strategy especially after long-term challenging market conditions (ex: 2000s)
UMSV Potential Portfolio Solutions
Let’s explore how USMV ETF potentially integrates into a portfolio at large.
USMV ETF + Friends vs 60/40 Portfolio VBIAX
For investors committed to a defensive equity strategy the following portfolio might make sense:
50% USMV ETF
30% DBMF ETF
10% BTAL ETF
Here we’re combining a minimum volatility equity strategy with managed futures, market neutral and capital efficient treasuries to form an overall strategically diversified portfolio.
For those uncomfortable with home country bias I’d suggest actually swapping out USMV ETF for ACWV ETF (to go global) or to add EEMV ETF (Emerging Markets) and EFAV ETF (EAFE International Markets) according to taste.
Here our USMV ETF and Friends Portfolio has clearly outperformed and defended better versus 60/40 VBIAX ETF Portfolio.
To roll the clock back a few years we swapped out capital efficient treasury TYA ETF for AGG ETF.
We’ll gladly take a lower Best Year to clearly outshine with regards to Maximum Drawdown and Worst Year performance.
What Others Have To Say About USMV ETF
Now that we’ve covered a few different portfolio solutions let’s see what others have to say about the fund for those who prefer video format.
source: Bloomberg Quicktake Originals YouTube
source: ETFs YouTube
source: 재테크 YouTube
Nomadic Samuel Final Thoughts
I’ve made it no secret on this blog that I’m a huge fan of minimum volatility factor investing strategies.
In fact, my Picture Perfect Portfolio is the perfect example of this.
The so-called “boring factor” tames the equity sleeve of your portfolio.
This affords investors the opportunity to take risks elsewhere or to go the opposite direction of trying to build a defensive powerhouse portfolio.
I’m still baffled as to why more investors aren’t fans of minimum volatility.
It seems like magic that min vol strategies can offer returns equal to (or greater than) market cap weighted strategies while being hundreds of basis points more defensive.
I’ll take that free lunch any day of the week.
But at this point in the ETF review I’m more interested in what you’ve got to say.
Are you a fan of minimum volatility investing or other equity factor strategies?
Please let me know in the comments below.
That’s all I’ve got.
Ciao for now.