AGGH ETF: Review Of The Strategy Behind Simplify Aggregate Bond ETF

Over here at Picture Perfect Portfolios, we tend to cover diversified alternative asset allocation funds and equity optimization strategies.

But today we’re going to mix things up and turn our attention to the bond sleeve of our portfolios.

Specifically, we’ll be shining the spotlight upon AGGH ETF.

It’s better known as Simplify Aggregate Bond ETF.

We’re thrilled to welcome back Shailesh Gupta of Simplify ETFs to cover all of its unique features.

AGGH ETF: Review Of The Strategy Behind Simplify Aggregate Bond ETF - Digital Art

As a quick teaser, the fund has outperformed AGG ETF (its benchmark) this year with enhanced risk management and lower correlations with markets.

Simplify Aggregate Bond ETF vs iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF performance summary
source: portfoliovisualizer.com (The investment performance results presented here are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is not indicative of future results. The results obtained through backtesting are only theoretical and are provided for informational purposes to illustrate investment strategies under certain conditions and scenarios.)

That’s a win in my books.

But let’s not get obsessed with short-term results and instead focus on the strategy of the fund.

Without further ado, let’s turn things over to Shailesh.

AGGH ETF Review: Simplify Aggregate Bond Strategy Behind The Fund

Reviewing The Strategy Behind AGGH ETF (Simplify Aggregate Bond ETF)

Hey guys! Here is the part where I mention I’m a travel content creator! This “The Strategy Behind The Fund” interview is entirely for entertainment purposes only. There could be considerable errors in the data I gathered. This is not financial advice. Do your own due diligence and research. Consult with a financial advisor.

AGGH Simplify Aggregate Bond ETF
source: simplify.us

These asset allocation ideas and model portfolios presented herein are purely for entertainment purposes only. This is NOT investment advice. These models are hypothetical and are intended to provide general information about potential ways to organize a portfolio based on theoretical scenarios and assumptions. They do not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation/goals, risk tolerance and/or specific needs of any particular individual. 

What’s The Strategy Of AGGH ETF? - Digital Art

What’s The Strategy Of AGGH ETF?

For those who aren’t necessarily familiar with an “core bond exposure plus hedged credit overlay” style of asset allocation, let’s first define what it is and then explain this strategy in practice by giving some clear examples. 

Core bond exposure means that the target risk is that of the aggregate bond market which has interest rate and credit risks. We will also seek to enhance income through risk-managed option overlays. We attempt to mitigate credit and when appropriate, rate risk with hedges.

Simplify Aggregate Bond ETF Overview and Key Points
source: simplify.us (The investment performance results presented here are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is not indicative of future results. The results obtained through backtesting are only theoretical and are provided for informational purposes to illustrate investment strategies under certain conditions and scenarios.)

Unique Features Of Simplify Aggregate Bond Fund AGGH ETF

Let’s go over all the unique features your fund offers so investors can better understand it. What key exposure does it offer? Is it static or dynamic in nature? Active or passive? Is it leveraged or not? Is it a rules-based strategy or does it involve some discretionary inputs? How about its fee structure? 

The key exposure is interest rate risk, similar to the aggregate bond market. It is static in the sense that the underlying risk exposure is typically similar to the bond market; however, hedging against rate and credit risk will occur dynamically based on the market backdrop.

Additionally, we employ a derivative overlay for income enhancements. This is an actively managed ETF that seeks to outperform the Aggregate Bond Index (the Agg). It is unlevered in the sense that risk in the portfolio will be targeted to be of the same order of magnitude of the Agg, however the fund will often use derivatives to take on the market exposure, while cash be invested in high quality low risk fixed income securities.

The strategy is certainly opportunistic but maintains the clear goal to track the benchmark from the risk perspective with income and/or hedging via option overlays.

AGGH ETF Simplify Aggregate Bond Strategy Design including Core Bond Exposure and Credit Hedge Overlay
source: simplify.us (The investment performance results presented here are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is not indicative of future results. The results obtained through backtesting are only theoretical and are provided for informational purposes to illustrate investment strategies under certain conditions and scenarios.)

What Sets AGGH ETF Apart From Other Core Bond Funds? - Digital Art

What Sets AGGH ETF Apart From Other Core Bond Funds?

How does your fund set itself apart from other “core bond” funds being offered in what is already a crowded marketplace? What makes it unique? 

AGGH is an attempt to achieve outperformance via income enhancing option overlay a.k.a. “structural volatility selling”. Typical core bond funds try to achieve this via security selection, however the focus of AGGH is more on sector selection and option overlays. The option overlays create yield enhancing negative convexity as is typically witnessed in mortgage bonds.

Mortgage bonds have higher yield without higher credit risk due to negative convexity but are only a subset of the bond universe. Option overlays help the rest of the bond portfolio contribute to the yield enhancement process via “structural volatility selling” or negative convexity.

That said, we diversify these short volatility positions and seek to maintain a positively convex profile across the entire portfolio that can still benefit from moves lower across the yield curve.

What Else Was Considered For AGGH ETF?

What’s something that you carefully considered adding to your fund that ultimately didn’t make it past the chopping board? What made you decide not to include it? 

We considered the risk taking in the fund to be based on macro analysis but decided against it given that part of the investment spectrum is well covered by the existing products available in the market.

When Will AGGH ETF Perform At Its Best/Worst? - Digital Art

When Will AGGH ETF Perform At Its Best/Worst?

Let’s explore when your fund/strategy has performed at its best and worst historically or theoretically in backtests. What types of market conditions or other scenarios are most favourable for this particular strategy? On the other hand, when can investors expect this strategy to potentially struggle? 

This strategy performs best when interest rates are volatile but range bound but may be challenged when rates break out of the range. The strategy can potentially outperform the benchmark even in a bull market in bonds, since the short option strikes are well out of the money.

Why Should Investors Consider Simplify Aggregate Bond Fund AGGH ETF?

If we’re assuming that an industry standard portfolio for most investors is one aligned towards low cost beta exposure to global equities and bonds, why should investors consider your fund/strategy? 

AGGH’s goals and fee profile are similar to that of a core bond exposure but it is our view that active management can be constructive to a fixed income allocation.

Further, the use of options and other exposures like total return swaps can potentially be return/income enhancing, which can help mitigate the opportunity cost of owning bonds relative to other risk assets.

AGGH ETF Simplify Aggregate Bond Fund Portfolio Applications including as a core bond holding with hedged bond exposure
source: simplify.us (The investment performance results presented here are based on historical backtesting and are hypothetical. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is not indicative of future results. The results obtained through backtesting are only theoretical and are provided for informational purposes to illustrate investment strategies under certain conditions and scenarios.)

How Does AGGH ETF Fit Into A Portfolio At Large? - Digital Art

How Does AGGH ETF Fit Into A Portfolio At Large?

Let’s examine how your fund/strategy integrates into a portfolio at large. Is it meant to be a total portfolio solution, core holding or satellite diversifier? What are some best case usage scenarios ranging from high to low conviction allocations?

We consider AGGH to be a core bond holding.

The Cons of AGGH ETF - Digital Art

The Cons of AGGH ETF

What’s the biggest point of constructive criticism you’ve received about your fund since it has launched? 

It is a complicated strategy and understanding the nuances can be challenging. The main thing to understand is that this fund has relative advantages to core bonds when interest rates are stable.

If an investor has clear cut views about interest rates rising or falling, we have other products available which can help achieve desired returns for those scenarios.

The Pros of AGGH ETF - Digital Art

The Pros of AGGH ETF

On the other hand, what have others praised about your fund? 

The fund has offered investors yield enhancement without incremental credit or duration risk.

Learn More About AGGH ETF

We’ll finish things off with an open-ended question. Is there anything that we haven’t covered yet that you’d like to mention about your fund/strategy? If not, what are some other current projects that you’re working on that investors can follow in the coming weeks/months? 

Traditionally, investors have been compensated for interest rate risk by the yield curve premium. However, in an environment when the yield curve is inverted or flat and the roll down premium is not available, option overlays can instead help enhance portfolio yield.

On the firm level, while we take pride in offering innovative alternative strategies, our fixed income product lineup has expanded to include some really interesting strategic and tactical offerings.

Simplify ETFs logo as an alternative fund provider for DIY investors and advisors
source: simplify.us

Connect With Simplify ETFs

Twitter: @SimplifyAsstMgt

YouTube: Simplify Asset Management

Simplify Asset Management: Simplify ETFs 

Fund Page: AGGH ETF 

AGGH ETF Final Thoughts From Nomadic Samuel - Digital Art

Nomadic Samuel Final Thoughts

I want to personally thank Sailesh Gupta at Simplify for taking the time to participate in “The Strategy Behind The Fund” series by contributing thoughtful answers to all of the questions!

If you’ve read this article and would like to have your fund featured, feel free to reach out to nomadicsamuel at gmail dot com. 

That’s all I’ve got!

Ciao for now!

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